PAPERS | CHRONOLOGICAL LISTING

Refereed Publications:

Linder, J.A., Meeker, D., Fox, C.R., Friedberg, M.W., Persell, S.D., Goldstein, N.J., & Doctor, J.N. (in press). Persistence of effects of behavioral interventions on inappropriate antibiotic prescribing among primary care providers. JAMA, forthcoming.

Rogers, T., Goldstein, N.J. & Fox, C.R. (in press). Social mobilization. Annual Review of Psychology, forthcoming.

Tannenbaum, D., Fox, C.R. & Rogers, T. (in press). On the misplaced politics of behavioral policy interventions. Nature Human Behavior, forthcoming.

Walters, D.J., Fernbach, P.M., Fox, C.R. & Sloman, S.A. (in press). Known unknowns: A critical determinant of confidence and calibration. Management Science, forthcoming.

Fox, C.R. & Ülkümen (in press). Comment on Løhre & Teigen, “There is a 60% probability, but I am 70% certain: Communicative consequences of external and internal expressions of uncertainty.” Thinking and Reasoning, forthcoming.

Tannenbaum, D., Fox, C.R., & Ülkümen, G. (2017). Judgment extremity and accuracy under epistemic versus aleatory uncertainty. Management Science, 63, 497-518.

Ülkümen, G., Fox, C.R., & Malle, B.F. (2016). On the dual nature of uncertainty: Cues from natural language. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 145, 1280-1297.

Sacks, G.D., Dawes, A.J., Ettner, S.L., Brook, R.H., Fox, C.R., Russell, M.M., Ko, C.Y., & Maggard-Gibbons, M. (2016). Impact of a risk calculator on risk perception and surgical decision-making: A randomized trial. Annals of Surgery, 264, 889-895.

Sacks, G.D., Dawes, A.J., Ettner, S.L., Brook, R.H., Fox, C.R., Maggard-Gibbons, M., Ko, C.Y., & Russell, M.M. (2016). Surgeon perception of risk and benefit in the decision to operate. Annals of Surgery, 264, 896-903.

Meeker, D., Linder, J.A., Fox, C.R., Friedberg, M.W., Persell, S.D., Goldstein, N.J., Knight, T.K., Hay, J.W. & Doctor, J.N. (2016). Effect of behavioral interventions on inappropriate antibiotic prescribing among primary care practices: A randomized clinical trial. Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA), 315, 562-570.

Persell, S.D., Doctor, J.N., Friedberg, M.W., Meeker, D., Friesema, E., Cooper, A., Haryani, A., Gregory, D.L., Fox, C.R., Goldstein, N.J. & Linder, J.A. (2016). Behavioral interventions to reduce inappropriate antibiotic prescribing: A randomized pilot trial. BMC Infectious Diseases, 16:373.

Barkley-Levenson, E.E. & Fox, C.R. (2016). The surprising relationship between indecisiveness and impulsivity. Personality & Individual Differences, 90, 1-6.

Fox, C.R. & Sitkin, S. (2015). Bridging the divide between behavioral science and policy. Behavioral Science & Policy, 1, 1-12.

Tannenbaum, D., Doctor, J.N., Persell, S.D., Friedberg, M.W., Meeker, D., Friesema, B.A., Goldstein, N.J., Linder, J.A. & Fox, C.R. (2015). Nudging physician decisions by partitioning the order set: Results of a vignette-based study. Journal of General Internal Medicine, 30, 298-304. doi:10.1007/s11606-014-3051-2

Linder, J.A., Doctor, J.N., Friedberg, M.W., Reyes, N.H., Birks, C., Meeker, D. & Fox, C.R. (2014). Time of day and the decision to prescribe antibiotics. JAMA Internal Medicine. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2014.5225

de Palma, A., Abdellaoui, M., Attanasi, G., Ben-Akiva, M., Fehr-Duda, H., Erev, I., Fok, D., Fox, C.R., Hertwig, R., Picard, N., Wakker, P.P., Walker, J.L. & Weber, M. (2014). Beware of black swans: Taking stock of the description-experience gap in decision under uncertainty. Marketing Letters, 25, 269-280.

Meeker, D., Knight, T.K., Friedberg, M.W., Linder, J.A., Goldstein, N.J., Fox, C.R., Rothfeld, A., Dias, G. and Doctor, J.N. (2014). Nudging guideline-concordant antibiotic prescribing: A randomized trial. JAMA Internal Medicine, 174, 425-431.

Sonnemann, U., Camerer, C.F., Fox, C.R., and Langer, T. (2013). How psychological framing affects economic market prices in the lab and field. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110, 11779-11784. (Finalist for 2014 Exeter Prize for best paper published previous year in Experimental/Behavioral Economics and Decision Theory).

Persell, S.D., Friedberg, M.W., Meeker, D., Linder, J.A., Fox, C.R., Goldstein, N.J., Shah, P.D., Knight, T.K. and Doctor, J.N. (2013). Use of behavioral economics and social psychology to improve treatment of acute respiratory infections (BEARI): rationale and design of a cluster randomized control trial [1RC4AG039115-01] – study protocol and baseline practice and provider characteristics. BMC Infectious Diseases, 13:290, doi:10.1186/1471- 2334-13-290

Mogler, B.K., Shu, S.B., Fox, C.R., Goldstein, N.J., Victor, R.G., Escarce, Jose J. and Shapiro, M.F. (2013). Can new tools from behavioral economics and social psychology help control chronic disease? Journal of General Internal Medicine, 28. 711-718.

Hadar, L., Sood, S., and Fox, C.R. (2013). Subjective knowledge in consumer financial decision making. Journal of Marketing Research, 50, 303-316.

Fernbach, P.M., Rogers, T., Fox, C.R., and Sloman, S.A. (2013). Political extremism is supported by an illusion of understanding. Psychological Science, 24, 939-946.

Johnson, E.J., Shu, S., Dellaert, B.G.C., Fox, C., Goldstein, D.G., Hauble, G., Larrick, R.P., Payne, J., Peters, E., Schkade, D., Wansink, B., and Weber, E.U. (2012). Beyond Nudges: Tools of a Choice Architecture. Marketing Letters, 23, 487-504.

Schonberg, T., Fox, C.R., Mumford, J.A., Congdon, E., Trepel, C. and Poldrack, R.A. (2012). Decreasing ventromedial prefrontal cortex activity during sequential risk-taking: An fMRI investigation of the Balloon Analogue Risk Task. Frontiers in Neuroscience, 6:80, doi: 10.3389/fnins.2012.00080.

Staats, B.R., Milkman, K.L., and Fox, C.R. (2012). The team scaling fallacy: Underestimating the declining efficiency of larger teams.  Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 118, 132-142.

Bardolet, D., Fox, C.R. and Lovallo, D. (2011). Corporate capital allocation: A behavioral perspective. Strategic Management Journal, 32, 1465-1483.

Powell, T.C., Lovallo, D., and Fox, C.R. (2011). Behavioral strategy. Strategic Management Journal, 32, 1369-1386.

Fox, C.R., and Tannenbaum, D.  (2011).  The elusive search for stable risk preferences.  Frontiers in Psychology, 2:298.  doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2011.00298

Schonberg, T., Fox, C.R., and Poldrack, R.A. (2011). Mind the gap: Bridging economic and naturalistic risk-taking with cognitive neuroscience.  Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 15, 11-19.

Hadar, L. and Fox, C.R. (2009). Information asymmetries in decisions from description versus decisions from experience.  Judgment and Decision Making, 4, 317-325.

Morris, M.W., Carranza, E., and Fox, C.R. (2008). Mistaken identity: Activating conservative political identities induces “conservative” financial decisions.  Psychological Science, 19, 1154-1160.

Bearden, J.N, Wallsten, T.S., and Fox, C.R. (2007). Contrasting stochastic and support theory explanations for subadditivity.  Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 51, 229-241.

Tom, S., Fox, C.R., Trepel, C. and Poldrack, R.A. (2007). The neural basis of loss aversion in decision making under risk.  Science, 315, 515-518.

Fox, C.R. and Hadar, L. (2006). Decisions from experience = sampling error + prospect theory: Reconsidering Hertwig, Barron, Weber & Erev (2004).  Judgment and Decision Making, 1, 159-161.

See, K.E., Fox, C.R., and Rottenstreich, Y. (2006). Between ignorance and truth: Partition dependence and learning in judgment under uncertainty. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory and Cognition, 32, 1385- 1402.

Fox, C.R. (2006). The availability heuristic in the classroom: How soliciting more criticism can boost your course ratings.  Judgment and Decision Making, 1, 86-90.

Fox, C.R., Ratner, R.K., and Lieb, D. (2005). How subjective grouping of options influences choice and allocation: Diversification bias and the phenomenon of partition dependence. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 134, 538-551.

Fox, C.R. and Clemen, R.T. (2005). Subjective probability assessment in decision analysis: Partition dependence and bias toward the ignorance prior. Management Science, 51, 1417-1432. (Named Best Paper in Decision Analysis 2005, INFORMS).

Trepel, C., Fox, C.R., and Poldrack, R.A. (2005). Prospect theory on the brain? Toward a cognitive neuroscience of decision under risk.   Cognitive Brain Research, 23, 34-50.

Fox, C.R. and Levav, J. (2004). Partition-edit-count: Naïve extensional reasoning in conditional probability judgment. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 133, 626-642.

Sloman, S., Rottenstreich, Y., Wisniewski, E., Hadjichristidis, C., and Fox, C.R. (2004). Typical versus atypical unpacking and superadditive probability judgment. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory & Cognition, 30, 573-582.

Fox, C.R., and Rottenstreich, Y. (2003). Partition priming in judgment under uncertainty. Psychological Science, 14, 195-200.

Fox, C.R. and Birke, R. (2002). Forecasting trial outcomes: Lawyers assign higher probabilities to scenarios that are described in greater detail.  Law and Human Behavior, 26, 159-173.

Fox, C.R., and Weber, M. (2002). Ambiguity aversion, comparative ignorance, and decision context. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 88, 476-498.

Fox, C.R., and Levav, J. (2000). Familiarity bias and belief reversal in relative likelihood judgment. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 82, 268-292.

Fox, C.R. (1999). Strength of evidence, judged probability, and choice under uncertainty. Cognitive Psychology, 38, 167-189.

Moore, D.A., Kurtzberg, T., Fox , C.R. and Bazerman, M. (1999). Positive illusions and forecasting errors in mutual fund investment decisions. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 2, 95-114.

Birke, R., and Fox, C.R. (1999). Psychological principles in negotiating civil settlements. Harvard Negotiation Law Review, 4, 1-57. (Selected as 1999 Professional Article of the Year, Center for Public Resources Institute for Dispute Resolution).

Fox, C.R., and Tversky, A. (1998).  A Belief-based account of decision under uncertainty.  Management Science, 44, 879-895.

Reprinted in D. Kahneman & A. Tversky, Eds. (2000). Choices, Values, and Frames. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

Reprinted in E.Shafir (Ed). (2004).  Preference, Belief, and Similarity: Selected Writings of Amos Tversky. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

Fox, C.R., and Irwin, J.R. (1998). The role of context in the communication of uncertain beliefs. Basic and Applied Social Psychology, 20, 57-70.

Fox, C.R., B.A. Rogers, and Tversky, A. (1996). Options traders exhibit subadditive decision weights. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 13, 5-17.

Fox, C.R., and Tversky, A. (1995). Ambiguity aversion and comparative ignorance. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110, 585-603.

Reprinted in D. Kahneman & A. Tversky, Eds. (2000). Choices, Values, and Frames. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

Reprinted in E.Shafir (Ed). (2004).  Preference, Belief, and Similarity: Selected Writings of Amos Tversky. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

Tversky, A., and Fox, C.R. (1995). Weighing risk and uncertainty.  Psychological Review, 102, 269-283.

Reprinted in D. Kahneman & A. Tversky, Eds. (2000). Choices, Values, and Frames. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

Reprinted in E.Shafir (Ed). (2004).  Preference, Belief, and Similarity: Selected Writings of Amos Tversky. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

Fox, C.R., and Kahneman, D. (1992). Correlations, causes, and heuristics in surveys of life satisfaction. Social Indicators Research, 28, 221-234.

 

Book Chapters:

Fox, C.R., Erner, C. & Walters, D. (2015). Decision under risk: From the field to the lab and back. Chapter in G. Keren & G. Wu (Eds.).  Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making. New York: Wiley.

Fox, C.R., and Poldrack, R.A. (2014).  Prospect theory and the brain. Chapter in Glimcher, P., Fehr, E. (Eds). Handbook of Neuroeconomics (2nd Edition, revised & updated)New York: Elsevier.

Rogers, T., Fox, C.R., and Gerber, A.S. (2013).  Rethinking why people vote: Voting as dynamic social expression. Chapter in Shafir, E. (Ed.) The Behavioral Foundations of Policy.  New York: Russell Sage.

Fox, C.R. and Ülkümen, G. (2011). Distinguishing Two Dimensions of Uncertainty. Chapter 1 in Brun, W., Keren, G., Kirkebøen, G. & Montgomery, H. (Eds.). Perspectives on Thinking, Judging, and Decision Making. Oslo: Universitetsforlaget.

Fox, C.R., and Poldrack, R.A. (2008). Prospect theory and the brain. Chapter in Glimcher, P., Camerer, C., Fehr, E. & Poldrack, R. (Eds). Handbook of Neuroeconomics.  New York: Elsevier.

Fox, C.R., Bardolet, D., and Lieb, D. (2005). Partition dependence in decision analysis, managerial decision making, and consumer choice. Chapter in R. Zwick, R. & A. Rapoport (Eds.), Experimental Business Research. Volume III (Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer).

Fox, C.R. and See, K.E. (2003). Belief and preference in decision under uncertainty. Chapter in D. Hardman and L. Macchi (Eds.), Thinking: Current Perspectives on Reasoning, Judgment, and Decision Making (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley).

Thompson, L.L., and Fox, C.R. (2001).  Negotiation within and between organizations: Levels of analysis.  Chapter in M.E. Turner (Ed.), Groups at Work: Advances in Theory and Research (Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum).

 

Working Papers and Under Review:

Fox, C.R., and Levav, J. The Construction of absolute versus relative belief. Working Paper, UCLA Anderson School, Revision Requested, Psychological Review.

Erner, C., Fox, C.R., Chalekian, J.S., De La Rosa, G. & Trepel, C. Individual differences in objective and subjective consumer financial well-being. Revision requested, Journal of Marketing Behavior.

Hofree, G., Erner, C. Fox, C.R., Kutson, B. & Winkielman, P. The influence of incidental affect on risky choice. Revision requested, Journal of Experimental Psychology: General.

Scholton, M., Walters, D.J., Erner, C., Read, D., & Fox, C.R. A diagnosis of attitude toward debt. Manuscript submitted for publication.

Krijnin, J., Tannenbaum, D., & Fox, C.R. Choice architecture 2.0: Choice architecture as a social interaction. Working Paper, UCLA Anderson School.

Sacks, G., Dawes, A.J., Ettner, S.L., Brook, R.H., Maggard-Gibbons, M., Ko, C.Y., & Russell, M.M. & Fox, C.R. The influence of patient preference on surgeons’ treatment recommendations. Working paper, UCLA Geffen School of Medicine.

Walters, D.J., Erner, C., Fox, C.R., Trepel, C., Scholton, M. & Read, D. Debt aversion: Anomalous in theory, advantageous in practice. Working Paper, UCLA Anderson School.

Walters, D.J., Ülkümen, G., Erner, C., Tannenbaum, D. & Fox, C.R. Investment under epistemic versus aleatory uncertainty. Working Paper, UCLA Anderson School.

Hadar, L., Tannenbaum, D. & Fox, C.R. Subjective knowledge attenuates default effects. Working paper, Interdisciplinary Center, Herzliya.

Hadar, L. and Fox, C.R. Data, belief, and preferences in decision under uncertainty. Working Paper, Interdisciplinary Center, Herziliya.

Langer, T., and Fox, C.R. Bias in allocation among risky and uncertain prospects: Partition-dependence, unitdependence, and procedure-dependence. Working Paper, University of Muenster.

Fox, C.R., Tannenabaum, D., Ülkümen, G., Walters, D. & Erner, C. The Epistemic-Aleatory Rating Scale (EARS) in judgment and choice. Manuscript in preparation, UCLA Anderson School.

Fox, C.R., Long, A, & Hadar, L., Erner, C. Unpacking decision weights in decision from description and experience. Manuscript in preparation, UCLA Anderson School.

Bardolet, D., Lovallo, D., Rumelt, R., and Fox, C.R. The relative size effect on internal capital markets. Working paper, Bocconi University.

See, K.E., C. Heath, and Fox, C.R. Motivating individual performance with challenging goals: Is it better to stretch a little or a lot?  Working Paper, New York University.

 

Other Works in Progress:

Fox, C.R., Walters, D.J. Scholton, M. & Read, D. Loss aversion for Time and Money.

Tannenbaum, D. & Fox, C.R.. & Goldstein, N.J. Partitioning option menus to nudge single-item choice.

Fox, C.R., Goedde-Menke, M. & Tannenbaum, D. Ambiguity aversion is aversion to epistemic uncertainty.

Fox, CR. & Thompson, K. Partitions, numbers, and apprehension of probabilities.

Fox, C.R., & Barkley-Levenson, E. & Tsai, M. A multidimensional scale of indecisive behavior.

Fox, C.R. & Tsai, M. Attributions of indecisiveness and related constructs.

Walters, D., Fernbach, P., Sloman, S. & Fox, C.R. CRT and Known Unknowns in Judgment and Decision Making.

Fox, C.R., Erner, C., & Long, A. The Raffle Method: Simpler measurement of prospect theory value function and decision weights.

Fox, C.R.. Evaluating the nature vs. number of events: The ignorance prior model of judgment under uncertainty.